Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 7.787558 8.778379 9.809176 10.958471 12.200934 13.500532 14.959541
2024-10-20 6.076585 7.452720 8.967424 10.745386 12.762075 14.965788 17.542957
2024-10-27 4.872428 6.393083 8.142384 10.276887 12.784177 15.609837 19.008231
2024-11-03 4.297247 5.960774 7.944027 10.438879 13.449005 16.920569 21.182435
2024-11-10 3.846234 5.613304 7.788839 10.599802 14.070322 18.151599 23.248206
2024-11-17 3.347650 5.146304 7.433646 10.467987 14.298515 18.887274 24.709917
2024-11-24 2.995597 4.831372 7.235746 10.501020 14.703938 19.819621 26.399639
2024-12-01 2.666615 4.512705 7.002088 10.460495 14.995166 20.597878 27.895870
2024-12-08 2.391880 4.241987 6.807638 10.449120 15.306499 21.390727 29.407094
2024-12-15 2.340077 4.289140 7.045134 11.014440 16.370804 23.141752 32.130784
2024-12-22 2.119678 4.061851 6.880355 11.018514 16.687373 23.938225 33.657962
2024-12-29 2.070159 4.092657 7.081085 11.526781 17.679158 25.610773 36.311707
2025-01-05 1.959903 4.021776 7.133980 11.835383 18.418504 26.982534 38.621744
2025-01-12 1.717545 3.713384 6.815998 11.601731 18.409493 27.372946 39.673551
2025-01-19 1.441718 3.317815 6.337052 11.107373 18.015622 27.234784 40.023041
2025-01-26 1.343204 3.222147 6.315334 11.278535 18.548080 28.331831 41.994468
2025-02-02 1.253165 3.132604 6.296170 11.448592 19.077575 29.427864 43.973297
2025-02-09 1.111325 2.930517 6.080983 11.309302 19.155817 29.907232 45.133923
2025-02-16 1.014904 2.805482 5.983998 11.344210 19.480906 30.722875 46.747379
2025-02-23 0.914245 2.660222 5.842761 11.301384 19.686604 31.371914 48.139324
2025-03-02 0.827837 2.534153 5.725711 11.289363 19.932844 32.075820 49.608489
2025-03-09 0.838980 2.619898 5.984535 11.886568 21.095240 34.071948 52.852401
2025-03-16 0.763827 2.506410 5.880910 11.890870 21.366027 34.817223 54.394310